display:

Position 3221, Category Blitz

Black to play 5 3

Black vs White

Match to 15, Score: 2 - 8

added at 5/20/2019 5:54 PM, from SluGammon

Pipcount: 71(-45) - 116(+45)


Gnu BG ID:

Comment:
Safe vs bold? Keep an eye on the score and cube value... The gammon price is significantly increased (0,729), so sacrificing 3% of winning chances to gain 23% gammon chances is definitely the way to go.

backgammon position number 3221 - checkerplay.com

1) 8/3 8/5* [show allhide all]
Equity: +1.816 Rollout

1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply. cube decisions: XG Roller

Player: 91.21%23.54%66.83%0.84%
Opponent: 8.79%8.13%0.66%0.00%
Confidence: ± 0.004 (1.812 < Equity < 1.820)

Pipcount: 63(-58) - 121(+58)


2) 8/3 4/1 [show positionhide position]
Equity: +1.530 (-0.286) Rollout

1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply. cube decisions: XG Roller

Player: 94.10%49.57%44.27%0.26%
Opponent: 5.90%5.59%0.30%0.01%
Confidence: ± 0.003 (1.527 < Equity < 1.533)

Pipcount: 63(-53) - 116(+53)


3) 8/3 7/4 [show positionhide position]
Equity: +1.516 (-0.300) Rollout

1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply. cube decisions: XG Roller

Player: 92.13%45.84%45.94%0.35%
Opponent: 7.87%7.60%0.26%0.01%
Confidence: ± 0.003 (1.513 < Equity < 1.519)

Pipcount: 63(-53) - 116(+53)


4) 6/3 6/1 [show positionhide position]
Equity: +1.181 (-0.635) Rollout

1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply. cube decisions: XG Roller

Player: 90.37%64.24%26.03%0.10%
Opponent: 9.63%9.28%0.34%0.01%
Confidence: ± 0.003 (1.178 < Equity < 1.184)

Pipcount: 63(-53) - 116(+53)


5) 8/5* 7/2 [show positionhide position]
Equity: +1.174 (-0.642) Rollout

1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply. cube decisions: XG Roller

Player: 74.67%25.85%48.19%0.63%
Opponent: 25.33%18.09%6.64%0.60%
Confidence: ± 0.005 (1.169 < Equity < 1.179)

Pipcount: 63(-58) - 121(+58)

Software: eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10. MET: Kazaross XG2